{"id":32843,"date":"2025-11-18T16:37:26","date_gmt":"2025-11-18T13:37:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/migrant.uz\/?p=32843"},"modified":"2025-11-18T16:37:26","modified_gmt":"2025-11-18T13:37:26","slug":"rossiyaga-qattiq-qish-kelyaptimi-sinoptiklar-nima-deydi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/migrant.uz\/uz\/rossiyaga-qattiq-qish-kelyaptimi-sinoptiklar-nima-deydi\/","title":{"rendered":"Rossiyaga qattiq qish kelyaptimi? Sinoptiklar nima deydi?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>So&#8217;nggi kunlarda internetda Rossiyada bu qishda harorat -40\u00b0C gacha tushib, qor yog&#8217;ishi qayd etilishi haqidagi qo&#8217;rqinchli xabarlar tarqala boshladi. Bu &laquo;prognozlar&raquo;ning aksariyati juda vahimali tuyuladi. Xo\u2018sh, rostdan ham Rossiyada dahshatli qish bo\u2018lishi kutilyaptimi? Bu savolga rasmiy sinoptiklar ham <a href=\"https:\/\/news.mail.ru\/society\/68751519\/\">javob berdi<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Bu holat deyarli har yili takrorlanadi: sovuq ob-havo boshlanishidan oldin &laquo;250 yil ichidagi eng sovuq qish&raquo;, &laquo;g&#8217;ayritabiiy qorlar yog&#8217;ishi&raquo; va &laquo;mamlakat bo&#8217;ylab bo&#8217;ronlar&raquo; haqida xabarlar paydo bo&#8217;ladi. Ushbu nashrlarda juda aniq raqamlar, masalan, Rossiyaning markaziy qismida -35\u00b0C gacha sovuq, 22 m\/s tezlikdagi shamol, ulkan qor bo\u2018ronlari va yuzlab millimetr yog&#8217;ingarchilik haqida ma\u2019lumotlar keltiriladi. Ural va Sibir uchun ular hatto -38\u00b0C dan -40\u00b0C gacha haroratni \u201cbashorat\u201d qilishadi. Biroq, mutaxassislar bunday xabarlar deyarli hech qachon rasmiy ma&#8217;lumotlarga asoslanmaganligini ta&#8217;kidlaydi.<\/p>\n<p>Asosiy muammo shundaki, bunday nashrlarda ishonchli manbalarga havolalar yo&#8217;q. &laquo;Sinoptiklar xabariga ko\u2018ra&raquo; yoki &laquo;olimlar ogohlantirishmoqda&raquo; kabi iboralar ishonchli tuyuladi, ammo ular haqiqiy meteorologiyaga hech qanday aloqasi yo&#8217;q. Rasmiy meteorologiya xizmatlari kamdan-kam hollarda uzoq muddatlar uchun aniq raqamlarni taqdim etadi.<\/p>\n<p>Rossiya Gidrometeorologiya Markazining ilmiy direktori Roman Vilfand uzoq muddatli prognozlar faqat taxminiy bo&#8217;lishi mumkinligini bir necha bor ta\u2019kidlaydi. Ular umumiy tendentsiyani tasvirlaydi: odatdagidan iliqroq, sovuqroq yoki odatdagidan ancha past. Muayyan mintaqada -40\u00b0C kabi aniq prognozlar bir necha oy oldin taqdim etilmaydi. Batafsil prognozlar faqat 5-7 kun uchun mumkin.<\/p>\n<p>Virusli xabarlardan olingan ba&#8217;zi raqamlar haqiqatga mutlaqo zid. Masalan, bu yil qishda Novosibirsk viloyatida 900 mm qor yog&#8217;ishi haqidagi da&#8217;volar bu mintaqa uchun yillik yog&#8217;ingarchilik normasidan deyarli ikki baravar ko&#8217;p. Sinoptiklar bunday ma&#8217;lumotlarni ilmiy emas deb baholaydi.<\/p>\n<p>Mutaxassislarning ta&#8217;kidlashicha, bunday dahshatli xabarlar ko&#8217;pincha postlarga e&#8217;tiborni jalb qilish uchun yaratiladi. Ularning rasmiy prognozlarga aloqasi yo&#8217;q. Gidrometeorologiya Markazi odatda sentyabr oyining oxiri yoki oktyabr oyining boshlarida, asosan kommunal xizmatlar uchun mavsumiy prognozni e&#8217;lon qiladi. Ushbu prognoz umumiy umumiy ma&#8217;lumot beradi, ammo &laquo;apokaliptik&raquo; e&#8217;lonlardan qochadi.<\/p>\n<p>Olimlar iqlim o&#8217;zgarishi butun dunyo bo&#8217;ylab ekstremal ob-havo hodisalari &#8211; ham issiq, ham sovuq sonini ko&#8217;paytirayotganini eslatgan. Biroq, ularni aniq, oldindan va aniq raqamlar bilan bashorat qilish hali ham imkonsiz.<\/p>\n<p>Ob-havo haqida ma&#8217;lumot olishning eng ishonchli usuli &#8211; meteorologiya xizmatlarining rasmiy qisqa muddatli prognozlariga amal qilishdir. Ular haqiqiy ma&#8217;lumotlarga asoslangan va eng aniq ma&#8217;lumotlarni taqdim etadi.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>So&#8217;nggi kunlarda internetda Rossiyada bu qishda harorat -40\u00b0C gacha tushib, qor yog&#8217;ishi qayd etilishi haqidagi qo&#8217;rqinchli xabarlar tarqala boshladi. Bu &laquo;prognozlar&raquo;ning aksariyati juda vahimali tuyuladi. Xo\u2018sh, rostdan ham Rossiyada dahshatli qish bo\u2018lishi kutilyaptimi? Bu savolga rasmiy sinoptiklar ham javob berdi. Bu holat deyarli har yili takrorlanadi: sovuq ob-havo boshlanishidan oldin &laquo;250 yil ichidagi eng sovuq qish&raquo;, &laquo;g&#8217;ayritabiiy qorlar yog&#8217;ishi&raquo; va &laquo;mamlakat bo&#8217;ylab bo&#8217;ronlar&raquo; haqida xabarlar paydo bo&#8217;ladi. Ushbu nashrlarda juda aniq raqamlar, masalan, Rossiyaning markaziy qismida -35\u00b0C gacha sovuq, 22 m\/s tezlikdagi shamol, ulkan qor bo\u2018ronlari va yuzlab millimetr yog&#8217;ingarchilik haqida ma\u2019lumotlar keltiriladi. Ural va Sibir uchun ular hatto -38\u00b0C dan -40\u00b0C gacha haroratni \u201cbashorat\u201d qilishadi. Biroq, mutaxassislar bunday xabarlar deyarli hech qachon rasmiy ma&#8217;lumotlarga asoslanmaganligini ta&#8217;kidlaydi. Asosiy muammo shundaki, bunday nashrlarda ishonchli manbalarga havolalar yo&#8217;q. &laquo;Sinoptiklar xabariga ko\u2018ra&raquo; yoki &laquo;olimlar ogohlantirishmoqda&raquo; kabi iboralar ishonchli tuyuladi, ammo ular haqiqiy meteorologiyaga hech qanday aloqasi yo&#8217;q. Rasmiy meteorologiya xizmatlari kamdan-kam hollarda uzoq muddatlar uchun aniq raqamlarni taqdim etadi. Rossiya Gidrometeorologiya Markazining ilmiy direktori Roman Vilfand uzoq muddatli prognozlar faqat taxminiy bo&#8217;lishi mumkinligini bir necha bor ta\u2019kidlaydi. Ular umumiy tendentsiyani tasvirlaydi: odatdagidan iliqroq, sovuqroq yoki odatdagidan ancha past. Muayyan mintaqada -40\u00b0C kabi aniq prognozlar bir necha oy oldin taqdim etilmaydi. Batafsil prognozlar faqat 5-7 kun uchun mumkin. Virusli xabarlardan olingan ba&#8217;zi raqamlar haqiqatga mutlaqo zid. Masalan, bu yil qishda Novosibirsk viloyatida 900 mm qor yog&#8217;ishi haqidagi da&#8217;volar bu mintaqa uchun yillik yog&#8217;ingarchilik normasidan deyarli ikki baravar ko&#8217;p. Sinoptiklar bunday ma&#8217;lumotlarni ilmiy emas deb baholaydi. Mutaxassislarning ta&#8217;kidlashicha, bunday dahshatli xabarlar ko&#8217;pincha postlarga e&#8217;tiborni jalb qilish uchun yaratiladi. Ularning rasmiy prognozlarga aloqasi yo&#8217;q. Gidrometeorologiya Markazi odatda sentyabr oyining oxiri yoki oktyabr oyining boshlarida, asosan kommunal xizmatlar uchun mavsumiy prognozni e&#8217;lon qiladi. Ushbu prognoz umumiy umumiy ma&#8217;lumot beradi, ammo &laquo;apokaliptik&raquo; e&#8217;lonlardan qochadi. Olimlar iqlim o&#8217;zgarishi butun dunyo bo&#8217;ylab ekstremal ob-havo hodisalari &#8211; ham issiq, ham sovuq sonini ko&#8217;paytirayotganini eslatgan. Biroq, ularni aniq, oldindan va aniq raqamlar bilan bashorat qilish hali ham imkonsiz. Ob-havo haqida ma&#8217;lumot olishning eng ishonchli usuli &#8211; meteorologiya xizmatlarining rasmiy qisqa muddatli prognozlariga amal qilishdir. Ular haqiqiy ma&#8217;lumotlarga asoslangan va eng aniq ma&#8217;lumotlarni taqdim etadi. &nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":18,"featured_media":32844,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[64,86,67,3,246],"tags":[100],"class_list":["post-32843","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-category-newsworld","category-opinion","category-category-newsrus","category-news","category-novosti","tag-rossiya"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v23.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Rossiyaga qattiq qish kelyaptimi? 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